Portfolio

Projects

Models, tools and research write-ups covering what I built, how it works, and what the data said.

Oct 10, 2026· Tracked model

Building an NFL player prop engine from scratch

How I originate my own lines for QB, RB, WR and TE props with a full-game Monte Carlo simulator. No sportsbook inputs go into the model; prices are only compared afterward.

NFLMonte CarloSimulationPython

Sep 15, 2026

Sportsbook arbitrage scanner

A Python scanner that polls lines across books, flags arbitrage and middle opportunities, and pushes them to a live dashboard.

PythonOdds APIsDashboard

Jul 8, 2026

Polymarket whale tracker

A live dashboard that follows the 50 most profitable Polymarket traders into sports markets resolving in the next 24 hours, and scores each position for conviction.

PolymarketPythonFlaskLive data

Jun 5, 2026· Tracked model

Pricing MLB strikeout props

Why I picked pitcher strikeouts, how the projection engine works, and an honest look at 361 bets through the first chunk of the 2026 season.

MLBStrikeoutsProjection model

Coming soon

College football totals

A game totals model for college football. It projects each team's scoring from pace, efficiency and matchup data, then prices the over/under.

NCAAFTotals

Coming soon

NBA player props

Bringing the simulation approach behind the NFL prop engine to basketball, projecting minutes, usage and per-possession production for every player prop.

NBAPlayer props